The Red-Blue Divorce is Happening

  • The majority of the people who voted for Trump in 2020 — 74 million people comprising 47% of voters nationwide and a majority in 25 of 50 states — falsely believe him to be the legitimate President of the United States.
  • Around 2/3 of of these voters believe Biden only took office because of voter fraud.
  • Almost 3/4 of these voters think the result was tainted by substantial voter fraud.
  • Republican-controlled states around the country are enacting laws designed to make Trump’s attempts to overturn the election actually work next time.
  • These states include Georgia, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania — all states Trump won in 2016 but narrowly lost in 2020 and that will probably decide the 2024 Election.
  • These same states are also enacting laws to restrict voting rights in order to combat the disproved fraud allegations from 2020. Multiple independent observers, including well-regarded scholars of democracy, assess these efforts to be specifically designed to discourage turnout in regions where Biden won by a wide margin.
  • Biden’s margin in the electoral college was secured by around 44,000 votes spread across Georgia, Arizona, and Wisconsin — less than half a percentage point. The Democrats dramatically under-performed in the Senate and House in 2020, leading to an almost perfect 50–50 split that makes substantial legislation difficult if not impossible.
  • The party nominally in power in the United States almost always loses ground in the next election cycle unless it can score major public wins or — in the case of George W. Bush — plunge the country into a major war.
Ballotpedia — State trifectas
Ballotpedia — State House control 2021
Ballotpedia — State Senate control 2021
270towin 2020 Map
  • In January 2025 rival inaugurations are held after an unspeakably bitter election where neither side concedes, the Democrats alleging widespread voter suppression and/or the Republicans insisting on the presence of massive fraud.
  • Fearing the nightmare scenario of receiving orders from two competing governments and the potential for conflict within the ranks, the United States military announces it will remain independent, defending America from any foreign attack but refusing to allow units to take part in any domestic actions.
  • State governors and governments come under immediate pressure to declare which President they accept. With most Red and Blue states being geographically concentrated and having similar economies, regional multi-state compacts quickly form as few governors want to be seen to act unilaterally and all face some degree of civil unrest.
  • The West Coast and Northeast swiftly recognize the Democratic candidate while the Midwest and South go for the Republican. The Rocky Mountain West and Great Lakes regions are less contiguous, and intense pressure falls on governments in Nevada, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota.
  • In many closely-divided regions scattered violence raises fears of worse conflict to come, as neither the Red nor Blue President refuse to concede, both claiming to be the sole true President of the United States.
  • Fearing chaos, European and Asian allies of the United States intervene politically to broker a separation deal that eliminates the threat of a split in the United States military from triggering broader armed conflict. The United States is broken into several different regions, each with the right to take the Constitution as its guiding document and interpret it as its residents prefer.
The Eight Emerging American Regions
Regions Vital Stats as of 2021
  • Coordinate the common defense in the event of a foreign military attack
  • Guarantee American citizens’ right to move between Regions
  • Select the chairs of the Federal Reserve Bank and UN ambassador
  • Anything else deliberately delegated to it by the Regions

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Author, rogue systems analyst. True Neutral autistic pro-science anti-authoritarian rural cat fanatic, he/him/they, married. West Coast = Only Coast :)

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Andrew Tanner

Andrew Tanner

Author, rogue systems analyst. True Neutral autistic pro-science anti-authoritarian rural cat fanatic, he/him/they, married. West Coast = Only Coast :)

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