Pinned2025: The Year America Tears Itself ApartBuckle up and hang on, because America is locked into a terrible trajectory that likely ends in terminal division. Disclaimer: could things change over the next two and a half years? Sure! Trump or Biden could die. Aliens could show up to save or destroy the world. There could even…Future17 min read
Published in GEN·PinnedFourth America is Almost Over — Americans Want a Divorce.Since 2016, I have watched America’s slow march over a cliff with a mix of fascination and horror. But the results of recent polls by Bright Line Watch have provided the first hard and frighteningly conclusive evidence that Americans are moving fast down the road I predicted—towards a national divorce. …Future12 min read
18 hours agoPrepare For Ukraine To Be BetrayedIt’s what America does to every ally, sooner or later — the New York Times editorial board is setting the stage for history to repeat yet again. What do the Kurds, Syrian rebels, Shia of southern Iraq, and South Vietnamese all have in common? Being left in the lurch by…Ukraine7 min read
22 hours agoKilling The Second AmendmentUnlike most folks who fall on the left end of the spectrum in American political culture, I’m not scared of guns. I grew up with them. Even accidentally took a couple shotguns and bunch of ammunition to high school as a kid, because when there’s a foot of snow outside…Guns13 min read
1 day agoThe Tragic Failure Of Climate ActivismComplaining to politicians and bureaucrats about the destabilized climate is futile — they don’t care, and they never will. Twenty critical years have been utterly wasted in the dead end of climate activism. Protests, think pieces, the constant warnings of a generation of prominent scientists — it has accomplished almost…Climate Change16 min read
May 18The Looming Stalemate In DonbasThe Battle for Donbas has reached a decisive point — unless Putin’s hordes unleash a major attack soon, Ukraine has won another epic victory. Unlike most folks who assess Russia’s war on Ukraine, I adamantly refuse to get caught up in starry-eyed optimism and rah-rah appeals. Why? Because overconfidence gets…Ukraine14 min read
May 17The Single Dumbest Argument Against Canceling Student LoansIt’s not fair! whine people who turn around and expect young folks to pay for their Social Security and Medicare forever. Fun fact about life in any society: not everything will be fair. It simply isn’t fair that my taxes go to pay for public services that don’t directly benefit…Science14 min read
May 11Putin’s Pyrrhic VictoryRussia may be getting whacked hard in Ukraine, but Putin has the Western world exactly where he wants it. Am I set to receive a swarm of comments insisting that I’m either a Putin or NATO stooge? Most likely! Information war is like that. :) But remember: war is not…Science17 min read
May 5Twitter And Musk Deserve Each OtherOh noes, everyone! An egoist billionaire wants to own the platform he likes to use to troll his way to popularity and wealth! Whatever shall we DO?! Taru Anniina Liikanen, who you should totally follow by the way, published an excellent piece about Musk and Twitter that prompted me to…Technology13 min read
Apr 25Forecast For The Battle Of Donbas — And What Comes AfterOrthodox Easter seems to have kicked off the next phase of Russia’s assault on Ukraine, and Putin’s plan is coming together mostly as I expected.Science17 min read